Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.170386 0.195237 0.223413 0.257920 0.299306 0.347683 0.409002
2025-06-15 0.133858 0.166584 0.207795 0.264373 0.341430 0.444824 0.597782
2025-06-22 0.108241 0.142679 0.189401 0.259190 0.363999 0.521152 0.786307
2025-06-29 0.093347 0.128779 0.179815 0.261557 0.395022 0.615904 1.037194
2025-07-06 0.081262 0.116191 0.168957 0.258413 0.415073 0.697483 1.299329
2025-07-13 0.073725 0.108879 0.164343 0.263493 0.449145 0.813230 1.682800
2025-07-20 0.067852 0.103119 0.160973 0.269519 0.485876 0.945993 2.178105
2025-07-27 0.062899 0.098065 0.157806 0.274965 0.522536 1.091697 2.801079
2025-08-03 0.058988 0.094179 0.155958 0.282334 0.565007 1.267568 3.646274
2025-08-10 0.054965 0.089566 0.152060 0.284722 0.596952 1.430648 4.597458
2025-08-17 0.051273 0.085093 0.147763 0.285383 0.624994 1.595996 5.731546
2025-08-24 0.047751 0.080536 0.142684 0.283366 0.645846 1.750512 7.008772
2025-08-31 0.044256 0.075746 0.136693 0.278591 0.659345 1.893056 8.456636
2025-09-07 0.042335 0.073760 0.136148 0.286541 0.711181 2.200094 11.404723
2025-09-14 0.039421 0.069555 0.130473 0.281037 0.722290 2.363661 13.781650
2025-09-21 0.037482 0.067094 0.128212 0.283716 0.759847 2.661559 18.015610
2025-09-28 0.035260 0.063855 0.123875 0.280255 0.776806 2.883735 22.317511
2025-10-05 0.033897 0.062251 0.122987 0.285879 0.826908 3.305405 30.627108
2025-10-12 0.032708 0.060897 0.122500 0.292551 0.883682 3.816540 43.232615
2025-10-19 0.031563 0.059529 0.121819 0.298583 0.940914 4.392783 61.803518
2025-10-26 0.030618 0.058509 0.121843 0.306751 1.010547 5.132148 92.989825
2025-11-02 0.029433 0.056858 0.120147 0.309398 1.058830 5.792194 133.657827
2025-11-09 0.028235 0.055083 0.117956 0.310131 1.099674 6.459000 191.380925